Can Mike Pompeo Sell Trump’s Vision for the Middle East?
Mike Pompeo is touring the Middle East, making speeches and holding meetings in an attempt to smoothen and explain the United States’ decision to withdraw troops from Syria. Top among concerns in the region is the future role of the United States in countering Iran. Also of concern is the fate of the Kurds, who fought alongside the U.S. in Syria but who fear being abandoned by Trump. More at Wall Street Journal.
Developing and implementing a durable, cohesive strategy is easier said than done in a volatile region where the worthiest goals in recent years have often been mugged by reality. Judging by the Trump administration’s first two years of Middle East policy and preliminary reports, we can expect a brittle mix of hawkish, confrontational rhetoric targeting Iran combined with unconditional support to flawed partners like Saudi Arabia. Pompeo may also try to put the best face on erratic moves by President Donald Trump in Syria—and to offer the latest version of a shifting policy that nobody can credibly pin down.
In the meantime, the likely headline item will be the speech to an Egyptian audience on “the United States’ commitment to peace, prosperity, stability and security in the Middle East.” What will it say? Will it be significant? It certainly will be important, but will it be definitive? Perhaps only until the next presidential tweet.
Syria’s Kurds will have to wait for more specifics on what role they will play in America’s broader plans for the Middle East. And they certainly have reason to be wary of U.S. intentions. For now though, they can seek a small dose of comfort from the statement of the U.S. secretary of state that America does not intend to betray them.