What Are the Takeaways from the Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire?
President Biden announced yesterday that a ceasefire deal between Israel and Lebanon has been struck. The ceasefire went into effect early Wednesday, following international mediation, providing a moment of calm after weeks of intense conflict and raising hopes for regional stability.
…the terms of the ceasefire and the status of Hezbollah maintaining many of the sources of its power make it clear that another Lebanon war may be closer than many would like to hope.
…while the new Lebanon agreement holds diplomatic value, it is unlikely to prevent Hezbollah’s entrenchment. Only proactive Israeli military operations, with or without committee approval, can transform this deal from a symbolic gesture—like the failed Resolution 1701—into an effective arrangement.
As has been fairly clear for months now, the proposed final agreement will closely resemble UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended the Second Lebanon War of 2006. But Israel hopes that this time, a real international effort will be made to enforce it.