Can Democrats Trust the Polls?
According to recent polls, Trump would lose to Biden by a significant margin if the election was held today. According to several polls, Biden’s lead is higher than 10 percentage points, but after Trump’s surprising 2016 win, Democrats are afraid to get their hopes up. More at The Hill.
Liberal schadenfreude — even in combination with Trump’s own self-inflicted wounds — will not by itself win the 2020 election… The race remains too close for comfort. In some polls, Trump trails Biden by as few as seven points. They appear to be tied in Ohio, and Biden’s edge is within the margin of error in Pennsylvania and Arizona.
…some people have dismissed Biden’s lead by pointing out that Hillary Clinton also led in most polls of the 2016 election (Clinton, obviously, ended up losing to Trump). While this is true, Clinton’s lead was much smaller.
Everything seems to be going Democrats’ way. But many in the party just can’t get 2016 off their minds. President Donald Trump is down or within striking distance in nearly every battleground state… Some Democrats are even beginning to feel confident about their prospects this fall.
Yet many can’t let themselves enjoy it.